An emergency group decision making method based on prospect theory
Tipo de publicación: International Conference
Año de publicación: 2017
Tipo: 14th Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM)
Fecha de publicación: 21st-24th May
Numero ISSN: 2411-3387
Lugar de publicación: Albi (France)
Resumen: When an emergency event (EE) happens, Emergency decision making (EDM) is crucial to deal with EE and mitigate its effects. In real world, it is hard for just one emergency decision maker (DM) to make a comprehensive decision for coping with an EE. Consequently, many practical emergency problems are often characterized by a group EDM (GEDM) scheme in which human beings are usually bounded rational under risk and uncertainty, and their psychological behaviors can modify the decision results. However, experts psychological behaviors have been neglected in current GEDM studies. The attribute weights are subjectively provided by DM increasing decision uncertainty in several EDM studies. Therefore, this contribution introduces a novel GEDM method that: (i) consider experts psychological behaviors by using prospect theory in GEDM process; (ii) calculate attribute weights in an objective way by using data envelopment analysis model for improving accuracy and correctness of decision making. Eventually, a case study and comparison with other approaches are provided to illustrate novelty, feasibility and validity of the proposed method.